Wednesday, October 23, 2024

Week 9 Picksheet

 🏈  Week 9 College Football Picks 🏈

Pick Sheet: Located in the bottom of the post. We have 56 games this week with some meaningful conference match-ups. Ranked match-ups are light this week as we have been spoiled. 

BIG10: Illinois @ Oregon 

SEC:  LSU @ Texas A&M 

ACC: Not worth watching any of these pillow fights.   

Other: Boise State @ UNLV, Notre Dame @ Navy (17 point 🐕)

Dislocation; In week 7, games with a spread differential greater than 4, won at a 75% rate. In Week 8, they won at a 62.5% rate. This week, we have 14 games with these characteristics (excluding the Tuesday night games).  I will be putting money on every single one of these games. I will admit that Michigan/ Michigan State scares me. I'm 0-3 when picking Michigan this year. Utah to cover -3.5 is the biggest dislocation play this week. 

 Games With Spread Differential > 4


Match Up Tool: Boise State @ UNLV

This is a huge match up in the Mountain West. Both teams have improved over the course of the year and UNLV has had plenty of drama with the QB being an absolute DIVA. While the model tells you to take UNLV to cover the 3.5 spread, I believe that Boise State will run these guys into the ground. I am planning to take Boise to cover and alt. -2.5 spread, which is where this game opened up.  


Week 9 Pick Sheet



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